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Japan’s Rice Prices Rise Sparks Food Security Alarm

(MENAFN) Rice, a fundamental element of Japanese and broader Asian diets, is placing significant strain on both consumers and policymakers in Japan as prices escalate amid shrinking production. This situation has led the nation to reconsider its overall food security strategy.

In May, the cost for a 5-kilogram (11-pound) bag of rice surged by over 4,000 Japanese yen (approximately $28), marking a staggering 98% increase compared to the same period last year.
This steep rise is partly due to the reduced availability of rice varieties in the market.

Factors such as global geopolitical tensions, climate change, and the persistence of small-scale farming methods are intensifying challenges in the rice sector, simultaneously weakening Japan’s position in tariff discussions with the United States.

The country is grappling with a severe shortage in rice supply, with prices doubling since last summer. Although the Japanese government has intervened by releasing emergency stockpiles to stabilize costs, rice prices remain elevated due to decreasing production and widespread perceptions of scarcity.

Rice holds a vital place in Japan’s traditional culinary culture; however, its cultivation has suffered from recent extreme weather events and natural disasters. Additionally, lower crop yields combined with a booming tourism industry have further contributed to the upward pressure on rice prices.

The surge in rice costs has pushed inflation higher, compelling Japan to import rice from South Korea for the first time in many years.

Japan has battled persistent disinflation for an extended period, but in May, its inflation rate reached 3.6%, surpassing that of other advanced economies and well exceeding the Bank of Japan’s 2% inflation target.

The rise in rice prices coincided with an increase in wheat costs following the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which disrupted global food supplies. Moreover, the record-breaking heatwave of summer 2023 devastated the rice harvest, and a major earthquake warning in August 2023 triggered panic buying and stockpiling, exacerbating shortages.

Stocks from the 2024 rice harvest were depleted roughly two months ahead of schedule, with wholesale rice prices climbing over 40% month-on-month in September 2024. Since then, prices have continued to climb amid ongoing supply shortages and stronger demand.

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